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Discussion in 'Analisa Teknikal' started by xtreamforex.com, Jan 3, 2019.

  1. xtreamforex.com

    xtreamforex.com
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    Technical Overview of NZD/USD and USD/CHF Currency Pair

    NZD USD

    NZD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6362.

    • NZD/USD's daily chart indicators are reporting early signs of a bullish reversal.
    • Trend reversal would be confirmed above Monday's high.
    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6351 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6340. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6379 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6369.

    USD CHF

    USD traded higher against CHF and closed at 0.9815.

    • USD/CHF again confronts 50-DMA while seeking a downward resistance-line since August 01.
    • 23.6% of Fibonacci retracement can offer immediate support.
    • Swiss ZEW Survey – Expectations in the spotlight.
    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.9780 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9747. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9841, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9869.
     
  2. xtreamforex.com

    xtreamforex.com
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    Technical Overview of EUR/CNY, USD/JPY and USD/CAD Currency Pair

    EUR CNY

    EUR traded higher against CNY and closed at 7.9029.

    The core Consumer Price Index released by Eurostat is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services excluding the volatile components like food, energy, alcohol and tobacco. The core CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative.

    The Euro Zone CPI released by the Eurostat captures the changes in the price of goods and services. The CPI is a significant way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation in the Euro Zone. Generally, a high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude which will be positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

    The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI™, released by Market Economics, is based on data compiled from monthly replies to questionnaires sent to purchasing executives in over 400 private manufacturing sector companies.

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 7.881 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 7.860. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 7.934 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 7.967.


    USD JPY

    USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 106.5200.

    Retail Sales m/m show the total volume of retail sales of goods and services in the past month compared with the previous one. This is a highly volatile indicator, it is seasonally adjusted.
    The index allows evaluating consumer spending which is an important indicator of the national inflation.
    The indicator growth can have a positive effect on yen quotes.

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 105.55 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 105.33. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 106.03, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 106.29.

    USD CAD

    USD traded higher against CAD and closed at 1.3287.

    The Gross Domestic Product released by the Statistics Canada is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by Canada. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of Canadian economic activity and health. A rising trend has a positive effect on the CAD, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish) for the CAD.

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3239 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3194. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3315, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3346.
     
  3. xtreamforex.com

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    Technical Overview of GBP/USD, AUD/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pair

    GBP USD

    GBP traded lower against USD and closed at 1.2281.

    The UK Parliament will decide whether the UK PM Johnson's Brexit Plan is valid or not. In the case the Parliament don't approve it, chances of a hard Brexit will increase exponentially.

    · GBP/USD deflected by Ichimoku Cloud as pointed out
    · Chart blockade has impeded rally, but bullish bias not gone
    · Bulls need to clear Cloud top 1.2432 to force short-covering
    · Daily Bollinger uptrend channel in play if 1.2269 floor holds
    · But Mon closing below that mark could skew back toward 1.2100
    · Entrance of downtrend channl awaits as Brexit uncertainty builds

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2266 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2255. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2300 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2311.

    AUD USD

    AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6846.

    AUD/USD trades firmer near-daily highs above the 0.6850 level after the Australian Home Loans data showed a solid surge in July. The spot also finds support from China's RRR cut despite disappointing Chinese trade figures.

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6839 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6836. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6851, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6854.

    USD JPY

    USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 106.90.

    USD/JPY is trading little changed below 107.00 so far this Monday amid Japanese GDP data and improved risk tones. Risk remains skewed to the upside, as the pair is developing above all of its moving averages.

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 106.83 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 106.79. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 106.97, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 107.01.
     
  4. xtreamforex.com

    xtreamforex.com
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    Technical Overview of EUR/USD, NZD/USD and GBP/USD Currency Pair

    EUR USD

    EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1046.

    · EUR/USD runs out of steam, failing to even cross 20 DMA on EBS at 1.1063
    · Return to downtrend possible, in repeat of early Aug price action
    · Bullish reversal pattern may again be overturned at Bollinger band 1.1111
    · Previous failures to close inside Bollinger uptrend channel cued selloff

    JOLTS Job Openings is a monthly report on job vacancies in the US commercial, industrial and office areas. The calculation includes all vacancies that are open as of the last business day of a month.

    The indicator is included in the JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) report based on employers' survey. In addition to job openings, it includes data on employment, hires and separations.

    JOLTS characterizes the US labor market. Index growth may have a positive effect on dollar quotes.

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1023 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1010. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1063 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1076.


    NZD USD

    NZD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6422.


    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6417 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6409. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6441, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6449.

    GBP USD

    GBP traded lower against USD and closed at 1.2345.

    The ILO Unemployment Rate released by the National Statistics is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the UK Economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the U.K. labor market. As a result, a rise leads to weaken the U.K. economy. Generally, a decrease of the figure is positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while an increase is negative.

    The Average Earing Excluding Bonus released by the National Statistics is a key short-term indicator of how levels of pay are changing within the UK economy. It can be seen as a measure of growth in "basic pay". Generally speaking, the positive earnings growth anticipates positive (or bullish) for the GBP, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).


    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 106.83 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 106.79. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 106.97, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 107.01.
     
  5. xtreamforex.com

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    Technical Overview of USD/JPY, USD/CHF and AUD/USD Currency Pair

    USD JPY

    USD traded higher against JPY and closed at 107.53.

    · USD/JPY grinds higher to 107.67 from 107.54, nearing breakout
    · May soon crack 107.71 top of daily Ichimoku Cloud on EBS
    · Closing above that level marks bullish break, 200 DMA could be next
    · ECB meet Thurs could derail EUR/JPY, though dovish outcome priced in
    · US 10y yield lets off some steam after hitting 1.744%, last 1.713%
    · Risk appetite rising with further global central bank easing expected

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 107.32 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 107.21. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 107.64 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 107.75.


    USD CHF

    USD traded lower against CHF and closed at 0.9919.

    · USD/CHF recently turned choppy inside a rising channel formation.
    · 200-hour EMA adds to the pattern’s support.


    The USD/CHF pair’s failure to rise past-0.9930/35 area, including early-month high, is less likely to portray its weakness unless breaking near-term support-line. The pair currently trades near 0.9920 by the press time heading into Wednesday’s European session.

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.9896 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9886. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9928, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9938.

    AUD USD

    AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6859.


    · AUD/USD is losing altitude in response to a dismal Westpac Aussie consumer confidence data.
    · Australian currency may remain under pressure due to deepening slowdown in China.

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6850 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6845. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6868, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6873.
     
  6. xtreamforex.com

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    Technical Overview of GBP/USD, USD/CAD and NZD/USD Currency Pair

    GBP USD

    GBP traded lower against USD and closed at 1.2500.

    · GBP/USD created a bullish outside bar candlestick on Tuesday, signaling a continuation of the recent rally.

    · Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points.

    The Consumer Price Index released by the National Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of GBP is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2423 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2392. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2525 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2556.

    USD CAD

    USD traded higher against CAD and closed at 1.3241.

    · USD/CAD remains above 100-HMA, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement confluence.

    · 61.8% Fibonacci retracement limits near-term advances.

    Consumer Price Index Core is released by the Bank of Canada. “Core” CPI excludes fruits, vegetables, gasoline, fuel oil, natural gas, mortgage interest, intercity transportation, and tobacco products. These volatile core 8 are considered as the key indicator for inflation in Canada. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude by the BoC, and that is said to be positive (or bullish) for the CAD.

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3231 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3215. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3283, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3299.

    NZD USD

    NZD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6356.

    · NZD/USD follows three-day-old falling trend-line, slips below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.

    · Early-month high, Tuesday’s low could offer intermediate halt during the declines.

    The Gross Domestic Product released by the Statistics New Zealand is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by New Zealand. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of New Zealand economic activity and health. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the NZD, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish) for the NZD.

    The FOMC press conference is about an hour long and has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility.

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6332 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6322. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6364, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6374.
     

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