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Discussion in 'Analisa Teknikal' started by xtreamforex.com, Jan 3, 2019.

  1. xtreamforex.com

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    Technical Overview of USD/CAD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pairs

    USD CAD
    [​IMG]
    The USD traded lower against the CAD and closed at 1.335.

    Consumer Price Index Core is released by the Bank of Canada. “Core” CPI excludes fruits, vegetables, gasoline, fuel oil, natural gas, mortgage interest, intercity transportation, and tobacco products. These volatile core 8 are considered as the key indicator for inflation in Canada. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude by the BoC, and that is said to be positive (or bullish) for the CAD.

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.33294, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.33094. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.33861, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.34228.

    Previous Day range was 56.7 and Current Day Range is 44.2.

    GBP USD
    [​IMG]
    The GBP traded higher against the USD and closed at 1.3043.

    Mark Carney is Governor of the Bank of England and Chairman of the Monetary Policy Committee, Financial Policy Committee and the Board of the Prudential Regulation Authority. His appointment as Governor was approved by Her Majesty the Queen on 26 November 2012. The Governor joined the Bank on 1 July 2013.

    The Consumer Price Index released by the National Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of GBP is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).

    The pair is expected to find support at 1.30231, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.30031. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.30812, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.31193.

    GBP USD previous Day range was 58.1 and Current Day Range is 34.7.

    USD JPY
    [​IMG]
    The USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 112.012.

    James Bullard is the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Dr. Bullard took office on April 1, 2008, as the twelfth chief executive of the Eighth District Federal Reserve Bank, at St. Louis. He is currently serving a full term that began March 1, 2011. In 2013, he serves as a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee.

    According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 111.892, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 111.772. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 112.087, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 112.162.

    USD JPY previous day range was 1950 and current day range is 2410.
    https://xtreamforex.com/academy/technical-overview-of-gbp-usd-aud-usd-and-usd-cad-currency-pairs/
     
  2. xtreamforex.com

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    Technical Overview of CHF/JPY, USD/CHF and EUR/USD Currency Pairs

    CHF JPY
    [​IMG]
    The CHF traded lower against the JPY and closed at 109.923.

    CHFJPY has formed a MB/IB on D1. It is in confluence with Yearly and Quarter Pivot.
    Keep in mind that both the currencies may share equal strength in short term due to weakness in USD( Yet to come).

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 109.592, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 109.261. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 110.127, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 110.331.

    Previous Day range was 5350 and Current Day Range is 3170.

    USD CHF
    [​IMG]
    The USD traded higher against the CHF and closed at 1.0200.

    The pair has already stretched above 2618 %. Now it has formed MB/IB and is in confluence with the Quarter/Year Pivot Levels. A breakout towards up or down may eventually change the trend.

    The pair is expected to find support at 1.01727, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.01453. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.02234, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.02467.

    USD CHF previous Day range was 50.7 and Current Day Range is 16.5.

    EUR USD
    [​IMG]
    The EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1154.

    The Pair formed a No Demand No Supply. VPOC level, 61% retracement & Quarter Pivot is in confluence at the market zone. A retracement may lead to further selling or alternatively it may make a new Impulse leg.

    According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.11210, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.10882. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.12063, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.12588.

    EUR USD previous day range was 85.3 and current day range is 15.5.
    https://xtreamforex.com/academy/technical-overview-of-chf-jpy-usd-chf-and-eur-usd-currency-pairs/
     
  3. xtreamforex.com

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    Technical Overview of USD/JPY, GBP/USD and GBP/CHF Currency Pairs

    USD JPY
    [​IMG]
    The USD traded lower against the JPY and closed at 111.641.

    USDJPY formed series of HH and HL then now over night it made LL
    A series of H & LL is start of a new downtrend
    The Support from D1 trend line has also broken and has been tested also

    Scenario 1: In order to Go Bullish it needs to Break the Yearly Resistance 112.075
    Scenario 2: In order to be bearish it needs to push through the Quarterly 111.49

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 111.488, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 111.334. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 111.846, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 112.050.

    Previous Day range was 3580 and Current Day Range is 1340.

    GBP USD
    [​IMG]
    The GBP traded higher against the USD and closed at 1.2932.
    GBPUSD RESPECTING the resistance from D1 resistance trend line.

    Now the pair stalls on the Quarterly Pivots Level

    As it can be seen that the pair made a series of LH and LL so a down trend is expected.
    Alternatively a bullish trend may start after the Daily Trend Line Resistance is broken...

    The pair is expected to find support at 1.29087, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.28858. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.29506, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.29696.

    GBP USD previous Day range was 41.9 and Current Day Range is 23.4.

    GBP CHF
    [​IMG]
    The GBP traded higher against CHF and closed at 1.3186.
    GBPCHF broke the daily support trend line.

    The pair stalls @ Quarterly and yearly Pivot As marked. If the pair breaks the 127 extension then it may bre bullish or else in the alternate scenario if the price breaks the low of Daily support then a DOUBLE TOP may have to form.

    According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.31600, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.31346. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.32064, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.32274.

    GBP CHF previous day range was 46.4 and current day range is 23.2.
    https://xtreamforex.com/academy/technical-overview-of-usd-jpy-gbp-usd-and-gbp-chf-currency-pairs/
     
  4. xtreamforex.com

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    Technical Overview of EUR/CHF, NZD/USD and GBP/CHF Currency Pairs

    EUR CHF
    [​IMG]
    The EUR traded higher against the CHF and closed at 1.1392.

    1- Mother bar @ Middle Quarter Resistance 2
    2-The top is the 786 Level retracement
    3- The D1 Trend line has also broken. Indicating a Bearish Movement

    Scenario 1: If there is a bearish breakout of Mother bar followed by a test with low volume then we may see an AB= CD pattern, With D point in confluence with the Middle Quarter Resistance 1.

    Scenario 2: If there is a bullish breakout above the yearly Pivot with a low volume retest then we may see a new Impulse leg which then extend or make a Double Top.

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.13750, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.13577. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.14244, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.14565.

    Previous Day range was 49.4 and Current Day Range is 23.9.

    NZD USD
    [​IMG]
    The NZD traded higher against the USD and closed at 0.662.

    1- H4 Mother bar @MSup1Q1
    2-The 61% Level retracement

    Scenario 1: If there is a bearish breakout of Mother bar followed by a test with low volume then we may see an AB= CD pattern, With D point in confluence with the Msup1Y1 & Msup1Q1

    Scenario 2: If there is a bullish breakout above the yearly Pivot with a low volume retest then we may see a new Impulse leg which then extend or make a Double Top.

    The pair is expected to find support at 0.65978, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.65754. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.66608, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.67014.

    NZD USD previous Day range was 63 and Current Day Range is 27.5.

    GBP CHF
    [​IMG]
    The GBP traded higher against CHF and closed at 1.3278.

    1- An Effort candle followed by climax candle.
    2- Formed candles @ the previous month resistance
    3- Followed by no demand no supply
    4- Followed by vpoc with low volume

    Scenario1: If the pair retraces to the no demand no supply area with low volume then we may see a downward movement.
    Scenario 2: If we see a bullish breakout then we will need further conformations to go long.

    According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.32556, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.32332. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.33018, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.33256.

    GBP CHF previous day range was 46.2 and current day range is 50.1.
    https://xtreamforex.com/academy/technical-overview-of-eur-chf-nzd-usd-and-gbp-chf-currency-pairs/
     
  5. xtreamforex.com

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    Technical Overview of GBP/JPY and AUD/NZD Currency Pairs

    GBP JPY

    The GBP traded higher against the JPY and closed at 146.344.

    GBPJPY @ a very strong resistance

    Reasons

    1- The Long Blue candle Represents Climax candle (indicating that smart money may be interested in selling).

    2- Abcd formed @ 127Extension.

    3- 127 level in confluence with trendline of Pivot Candles.

    4- Price approaching the Middle Resistance 1 of 1st Quarter.

    5- RSI H4 & D1 Already in Over Bought level.

    6- High of Previous Daily & Weekly Candle also Broken.

    So Scenarios

    If we see A Low Volume Test (two bullish candles followed by a bearish one with low volume then we can expect selling).

    If we break above the 161 Level with 2 bearish candles followed by 1 bullish low volume candle may resume uptrend.

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 145.254, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 144.164. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 146.951, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 147.558.

    GBP JPY Previous Day range was 16970 and Current Day Range is 9510.


    AUD NZD

    The AUD traded higher against the NZD and closed at 1.0572.

    The Pair Formed
    1- Mother bar in side bar @ the Quarterly Resistance, Previous Month Resistance and Monthly Pivot Levels. It’s in a range for now.
    2- 55 and 21 Period Moving average has a downward slope.
    3- Pair has made a series of LH and LL and the Trendline from the PIVOT CANDLES has been formed.

    Scenarios

    1- A break below the Low of Mother bar may continue the trend.
    Or
    2- A break above the Mother bar High may have a change in bias towards the up side.

    The pair is expected to find support at 1.05557, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.05396. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.05833, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.05948.

    AUD NZD previous Day range was 27.6 and Current Day Range is 32.4.
    https://xtreamforex.com/academy/technical-overview-of-gbp-jpy-and-aud-nzd-currency-pairs/
     
  6. xtreamforex.com

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    Technical Overview of AUD/CHF and EUR/AUD Currency Pair

    AUD CHF
    [​IMG]

    The AUD traded lower against the CHF and closed at 0.7128.

    It’s an interesting pair; let’s see what it has for us today. The same Directions apply to almost all of the AUD pairs.

    1-It formed A daily Motherboard Inside bar
    2- It’s in confluence with Yearly Pivots
    3- It’s in confluence with Quarter Pivots
    4- It’s in confluence with Month Pivots
    5- The Pair has been making a series of LL and LH.
    6- The Pivotal Trend line has broken to the upside.
    7- The Trendline has been Tested

    Scenario 1-If we get a break above the 0.7160 -0.7175 Zone of Year/Quarter & Month Pivot then we may Expect to move UP
    Scenario 2- If we break the lows of Mother bar Inside bar then we may go Down

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 0.71082, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.70884. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.71540, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.71800.

    AUD CHF Previous Day range was 45.8 and Current Day Range is 26.7.

    EUR AUD
    [​IMG]
    The EUR traded higher against the AUD and closed at 1.6011.
    Pair has formed

    1 - It formed a daily Mother bar Inside bar.
    2 - It’s in confluence with Yearly Pivots.
    3 - It’s in confluence with Quarter Pivots.
    4 - Range of Quarter and Year Pivots.

    5 - The Pair has been making a series of HH and HL.
    6 - Break Above or below the 127 Extension may lead pair to the short term trend.

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.59644, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.59184. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.60376, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.60648.

    EUR AUD Previous Day range was 73.2 and Current Day Range is 62.
    https://xtreamforex.com/academy/technical-overview-of-aud-chf-currency-pair/
     
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    Technical Overview of EUR/NZD, GBP/CHF and NZD/CAD Currency Pair

    EUR NZD


    The EUR traded higher against the NZD and closed at 1.7028.

    The pair formed a Motherbar Insidebar

    The pair is stalling @ yearly Pivots

    The yearly Pivots is same as Previous Quarter Pivot

    The pair is stalling @ Resistance Quarter

    The Pair is forming Series of HH and HL

    Scenario

    1- A break above the Yearly pivot Followed by a Low-Volume Test may from a bullish Trend
    2- A break below MResQ1 may lead the pair downward

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.69899, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.69516. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.70580, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.70878.

    EUR NZD Previous Day range was 68.1 and Current Day Range is 79.8.

    GBP CHF

    The GBP traded higher against the CHF and closed at 1.315.

    The pair formed a Motherbar Insidebar.

    The pair is stalling @ Res1 yearly Pivots.

    The pair is stalling @ Resistance1 Quarter.

    The Pair is forming Series of HH and HL.

    Scenario

    1- A break above the Yearly Res1 Followed by a Low-Volume Test may from a BEARISH Trend.
    2- A break above MResQ1 may lead the pair UP.

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.31221, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.30944. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.31987, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.32476.

    GBP CHF Previous Day range was 76.6 and Current Day Range is 45.8.

    NZD CAD

    The NZD traded lower against the CAD and closed at 0.8853.

    The pair formed a Motherbar Insidebar.

    The pair is stalling @ Res1 yearly Pivots.

    The pair is stalling @ support 1 Quarter.

    The Pair is forming Series of LH and LL.

    Scenario

    1- A break above the Yearly Res1 Followed by a Low-Volume Test may from a BEARISH Trend.
    2- A break above high of Motherbar then may lead the pair UP.

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 0.88325, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.88121. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.88831, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.89133.
    https://xtreamforex.com/academy/technical-overview-of-eur-nzd-gbp-chf-and-nzd-cad-currency-pair/

    Watch this on our YouTube channel:-
     
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    Technical Overview of EUR/JPY and EUR/NZD Currency Pair

    EUR JPY
    The EUR traded lower against the JPY and closed at 122.724.

    1 - Formed a Motherbar Inside bar @ D1.
    2 – Broke the Quarterly Pivot to the down side.
    3 - Making a series of LH and LL.
    4 - Main Trend Down.

    Break above 127 Extension may form a Bullish Momentum.
    Break below 127 Extension may form a Bearish Momentum.

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 122.518, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 122.311. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 122.944, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 123.163.

    EUR JPY Previous Day range was 4260 and Current Day Range is 5250.

    EUR NZD

    The EUR traded higher against the NZD and closed at 1.7093.

    1 - Formed a Motherbar Inside bar @ D1.
    2 - Stalls at the Yearly Pivot.
    3 - Making a series of HH and HL.

    Break above 127 Extension may form a Bullish Momentum
    Break below 127 Extension may form a Bearish Momentum

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.70420, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.69906. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.71337, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.71740.

    EUR NZD Previous Day range was 91.7 and Current Day Range is 33.6.

    Fundamental Events over Night

    1 - The dollar held near a two-week high against its peers on Friday, supported by strong U.S. economic data and a bounce in Treasury yields.
    2 - Pound falls below $1.28 as pressure builds on May to go.
    3 - The Australian Dollar depreciated against the US Dollar, following the Australian Employment data set release on Thursday.
     
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    Technical Overview of CHF/JPY and EUR/AUD Currency Pair

    CHF JPY

    The CHF traded higher against the JPY and closed at 108.824.

    The followed the following actions.

    1 - It broke he Monthly support upwards
    2 - It broke the Quarterly support upwards
    3 - Formed A Resistance Trend Line and broke it to the upside
    4 - The Daily 9 ema is to the upside
    5 - If the pair breaks the Up 127 extension then we may see an extended move
    or
    6 - If the pair breaks the down 127 extension then this may be a double top.

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 108.467, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 108.111. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 109.076, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 109.329.

    CHF JPY Previous Day range was 6090 and Current Day Range is 2530.


    EUR AUD

    The EUR traded higher against the AUD and closed at 1.6245.

    The followed the following actions.

    1- It broke the Quarterly Pivot upwards.
    2 - Making a series of HH and HL.
    3 - Formed A Support Trend Line.
    4 - The Daily 9 ema is to the upside.
    5 - If the pair breaks the Up 127 extension then we may see an extended move.
    or
    6 - If the pair breaks the down 127 extension then this may be a double top.
    7 - The up 127 Extension is in confluence with Quarter and Year Resistance.

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.62134, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.61818. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.62689, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.62928.

    EUR AUD Previous Day range was 55.5 and Current Day Range is 89.4.


    Fundamental Overview

    Inflation in the euro area is not at the level of 2% the ECB wants it to be, the ECB policy maker Klaas Knot says.

    Japan: GDP shows strong fundamentals are supporting demand US Pres. Trump: “Starting Monday, our great Farmers can begin doing business again with Mexico and Canada.
     
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    Technical Overview of GBP/JPY and GBP/USD Currency Pair

    GBP JPY

    The GBP traded higher against the JPY and closed at 139.972.

    The Pair formed
    1 - Formed a Motherbar Inside bar @ D1.
    2 - Stalls at the Yearly Support.
    3 - Making a series of LH and LL.

    Break above 127 Extension may form a Bullish Momentum.
    Break below 127 Extension may form a Bearish Momentum.Currency Strength Meter shows that JPY is the weakest for now.

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 139.595, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 139.215. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 140.420, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 140.869.

    GBP JPY Previous Day range was 8250 and Current Day Range is 4340.


    GBP USD

    The GBP traded lower against the USD and closed at 1.2721.

    The Pair formed
    1 - Formed a Motherbar Inside bar @ D1
    2 - Stalls at the Yearly Support and The Quarter Support
    3 - Making a series of LH and LL

    Break above 127 Extension may form a Bullish Momentum.
    Break below 127 Extension may form a Bearish Momentum.

    Currency Strength Meter shows that GBP is the Strongest for now

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.27044, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.26881. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.27470, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.27733.

    GBP USD Previous Day range was 42.6 and Current Day Range is 15.6.


    Fundamental Overview

    POUND: Faces the biggest Weekly drop of the year 2019.
    AUD/USD drops 20 pips after RBA minutes talk of rate.
    AUD/JPY weakens to revisit 76.00 as RBA minutes seem dovish.
     

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